DOGE dividend: Should you expect a check from Musk, Trump?


President Donald Trump has mentioned he’s contemplating distributing “DOGE dividends” to American taxpayers, drawing from any price financial savings his Division of Authorities Effectivity achieves by way of aggressive cuts to federal spending and employment.

Congress, nonetheless, is skeptical — and it’s not clear that the DOGE’s technique will really yield anyplace close to the financial savings it initiatives.

Billionaire Elon Musk floated the concept of DOGE dividends, primarily based on a proposal from a consumer on his social platform X, to Trump final week. By Wednesday, Trump mentioned he was occupied with dedicating 20 p.c of DOGE’s price financial savings to People and one other 20 p.c to paying down the nationwide debt.

Trump might even see the proposal as a way of boosting his approval scores, which have slipped since he took workplace: Throughout his first time period, Trump famously signed his identify to the wildly common pandemic stimulus checks despatched to People.

However even Republican lawmakers are at this level hesitant to help the proposal, which must be authorized by Congress as a part of ongoing funds negotiations.

Some have prompt they might contemplate it. Enterprise Insider reported Friday that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) needed to see particulars earlier than committing, and Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) mentioned he would like seeing DOGE financial savings redistributed through the kid tax credit score as a substitute.

Different Republicans, nonetheless, have been brazenly crucial of the concept, suggesting that paying down the nationwide debt must be their precedence over sending checks to People. They embody Home Speaker Mike Johnson, North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis, and Rep. Eric Burlison of Missouri.

“If you consider our core rules, proper, fiscal duty is what we do as conservatives. That’s our model,” Johnson mentioned Thursday on the Conservative Political Motion Convention (CPAC). “And now we have a $36 trillion federal debt, now we have an enormous deficit that we’re contending with. I feel we have to pay down the bank card, proper?”

Trump can’t afford many Republican defections given their slender majorities within the Home and Senate. That makes it unlikely that DOGE dividends will move, even when DOGE have been to save lots of sufficient cash to make them potential.

Are DOGE’s cost-cutting targets even achievable?

The unique dividend proposal assumes DOGE will finally obtain $2 trillion in financial savings and that 20 p.c of these financial savings can be handed on to American taxpayers, leading to a $5,000 tax rebate for every family. Discovering $2 trillion to trim, nonetheless, can be troublesome if not inconceivable.

As of Monday, DOGE claimed to have achieved $55 billion in financial savings, citing a so-called wall of receipts. Nonetheless, information organizations together with CBS, the New York Instances, and Politico have identified main accounting errors within the DOGE’s calculations that precipitated it to overstate these financial savings by billions of {dollars}.

To maintain its cost-cutting guarantees, DOGE would nearly actually should slash Social Safety, Medicare, and the protection funds — and discover some solution to minimize curiosity funds on the nationwide debt. Spending in these classes accounted for greater than $4.8 trillion of the $6.9 trillion federal funds for fiscal 12 months 2024.

Trump beforehand promised to not contact Social Safety, Medicare, and Medicaid, however he has since endorsed a Republican funds plan that features deep cuts to Medicaid. It’s not clear if he would contemplate further cuts to different main entitlement packages to realize the price financial savings targets set by Musk and his group.